Probabilistic Rationale of Actions for Artificial Intelligence Systems Operating in Uncertainty Conditions

Andrey Ivanovich Kostogryzov (Federal Research Center “Computer Science and Control” of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Vavilova Str. 44, bld.2, Moscow, 119333, Russia; Gubkin Russian State University of Oil and Gas (National Research University) Leninsky Av. 65, bld. 1, Moscow, 119991, Russia)

Abstract


The approach for probabilistic rationale of artificial intelligence systems actions is proposed. It is based on an implementation of the proposed interconnected ideas 1-7 about system analysis and optimization focused on prognostic modeling. The ideas may be applied also by using another probabilistic models which supported by software tools and can predict successfulness or risks on a level of probability distribution functions.  The approach includes description of the proposed probabilistic models, optimization methods for rationale actions and incremental algorithms for solving the problems of  supporting decision-making on the base of monitored  data and rationale a robot actions in uncertainty conditions. The approach means practically a proactive commitment to excellence in uncertainty conditions. A suitability of the proposed models and methods is demonstrated by examples which cover wide applications of artificial intelligence systems.


Keywords


Analysis; Artificial intelligence systems; model; Operation; prediction; Probability; Rationale; Risk; System; System engineering

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References


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DOI: https://doi.org/10.30564/aia.v1i2.1195

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