The Determinants of Population Growth in Rwanda

Authors

  • Daniel RUTURWA SEBIKABU Applied Statistics Department, School of Economics, College of Business and Economics, University of Rwanda

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.30564/jesr.v2i3.868

Abstract

The fertility occupies a central position in the study of population growth. The growth of the population depends entirely on human fertility, including birth, death rates and life expectancy. Growth of the fertility is one of the key determinants of the Population Growth. This paper focused on the determinant factors of population growth in Rwanda. From the findings, there is a statistically significance of fertility trends at 0.05 percent because the t-statistic in table-4 is greater than its critical value (1.96) at 0.05 percent. The results provides evidence of Fertility, birth, death and life expectancy as factors which boost population to grow in Rwanda. The results founded,   indicate the existence of high fertility rates even decreasing, lead to increase population due to its positive values over time. This means that Fertility rates in Rwanda has a positive impact on the country's population growth, especially in the youth who realizes around 48 percent of entire Rwandan’s Population. The relationship between fertility rate and the time describe a decreasing function, which interesting for us showing that fertility has been reduced over time. In other words, as well as the years increased, the fertility decreased.  The   coefficient   of   Time   is   (-0.117035)   which   implies that a unit change in time will change Total Fertility Rate (TFR) by (-0.117035), table-1. The model of fertility represents a decreasing function while the time function still increasing, as shows in the figure-2. The fertility variable has positive relationships with the population dependent variable even the fertility coefficient is negative, the probability p-value is significant at 0.05 significance level on one hand and the absolute t-statistic is great than the critical value at 0.05 level of significance, which confirm the statistically significance of t-statistic. The coefficients on the death rate and Life expectancy are respectively positive and significant at all confidence level, table-5.

Keywords:

Population, Fertility, Birth, Death, Life Expectancy, Rwanda

References

[1] Grimaldo, F., Marušić, A., & Squazzoni, F.. Fragments of peer review: A quantitative analysis of the literature (1969-2015). PLoS ONE, 2018, 13(2): 1–14.

[2] Lindtjørn, B., Alemu, T., & Bjorvatn, B.. Population growth, fertility, mortality and migration in drought prone areas in Ethiopia. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 2004, 87(1): 24–28.

[3] Joiner, T. E., Brown, J. S., & Sallee, F. R.. Journal of Personality Assessment The Illusion of Mental Health : In the Mind of Which The Illusion of Mental Health : In the Mind of Which Beholder ? Psychological Reports, 2005, 85(789921171): 92–97.

[4] Basu, A.. How to conduct meta-analysis: a basic tutorial. PeerJ Preprints, 2017: 1–15.

[5] Spengler, J. J.. Population and world economic development. Science, 1960, 131(3412): 1497–1502.

[6] Kimura, F.. Chapter 4 Challenge of the Imbalance of Economic-social Development in ASEAN. 2012: 121–157.

[7] Bloom, D. E., & Freeman, R. B.. Population Growth, Labor Supply, and Employment in Developing Countries. National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series, 1986, 1837.

[8] Digby J. McLaren.. Population Growth: Should Be Worried? Journal of Population and Environment Research Working Paper Series, 1996, 17(3): 243-259.

[9] Sumita Chaudhuri.. Urban poor, economic opportunities and sustainable development through traditional knowledge and practices. Journal of Global Bioethics, 2015, 26 (2): 86-93.

[10] Nagdeve, D. a. (n.d.). Population growth and environmental degredation in India.

[11] Garza-rodriguez, J.. The relationship between population growth and economic growth in Mexico, 2016, 36(1).

[12] Dunn, P. M.. Thomas Malthus (1766-1834): population growth and birth control. Archives of Disease in Childhood - Fetal and Neonatal Edition, 2009, 78(1):76–77.

[13] Chandiok, K., Mondal, P. R., Mahajan, C., & Saraswathy, K. N.. Biological and Social Determinants of Fertility Behaviour among the Jat Women of Haryana State, India. Journal of Anthropology, 2016, 1–6.

[14] Semakula, M., Ndahindwa, V., Hedt-Gauthier, B., Thomson, D. R., Kamanzi, C., & Abalikumwe, F.. Determinants of fertility in Rwanda in the context of a fertility transition: a secondary analysis of the 2010 Demographic and Health Survey. Reproductive Health, 2014, 1–9.

[15] Clausen, A. W., & Paden, D. W.. Population Growth and Economic and Social Development. The Journal of Economic Education, 2006, 16(3): 165.

Downloads

Issue

Article Type

Articles